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Investigating Variation in Replicability: A “Many Labs” Replication Project

Although replication is a central tenet of science, direct replications are rare in psychology. This research tested variation in the replicability of 13 classic and contemporary effects across 36 independent samples totaling 6,344 participants. In …

Null Hypothesis Significance Testing. On the Survival of a Flawed Method

Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) is the researcher's workhorse for making inductive inferences. This method has often been challenged, has occasionally been defended, and has persistently been used through most of the history of scientific …

On the origins of the .05 level of statistical significance

Examination of the literature in statistics and probability that predates Fisher's Statistical Methods for Research Workers indicates that although Fisher is responsible for the first formal statement of the .05 criterion for statistical …

Replication and Robustness in Developmental Research

Replications and robustness checks are key elements of the scientific method and a staple in many disciplines. However, leading journals in developmental psychology rarely include explicit replications of prior research conducted by different …

Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences Perspectives on Robust and Reliable Science

A paper about social, behavioural economic perspective on reproducible science

Star wars: The empirics strike back

Using 50,000 tests published in the AER, JPE, and QJE, we identify a residual in the distribution of tests that cannot be explained solely by journals favoring rejection of the null hypothesis. We observe a two-humped camel shape with missing …

Statistical errors: P values, the ‘gold standard’ of statistical validity, are not as reliable as many scientists assume

P values, the 'gold standard' of statistical validity, are not as reliable as many scientists assume.

Statistical significance in psychological research.

MOST THEORIES IN THE AREAS OF PERSONALITY, CLINICAL, AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY PREDICT ONLY THE DIRECTION OF A CORRELATION, GROUP DIFFERENCE, OR TREATMENT EFFECT. SINCE THE NULL HYPOTHESIS IS NEVER STRICTLY TRUE, SUCH PREDICTIONS HAVE ABOUT A 50-50 …

Surrogate Science: The Idol of a Universal Method for Scientific Inference

The application of statistics to science is not a neutral act. Statistical tools have shaped and were also shaped by its objects. In the social sciences, statistical methods fundamentally changed research practice, making statistical inference its …

The appropriate use of null hypothesis testing.

The many criticisms of null hypothesis testing suggest when it is not useful and what is should not be used for. This article explores when and why its use is appropriate. Null hypothesis testing is insufficient when size of effect is important, but …
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