Conceptual and Statistical Knowledge

Bayesian Cognitive Modelling

This site is dedicated to the book “Bayesian Cognitive Modeling: A Practical Course”, published by Cambridge University Press.

Bayesian inference

This blog post is about a new statistical visualization. This time I’ve tried to illustrate the logic of bayesian updating and hypothesis testing, using a Bayesian t-test.

Ben Goldacre: Battling Bad Science

A video about battling bad science

Benefits of Open and High-Powered Research Outweigh Costs

Several researchers recently outlined unacknowledged costs of open science practices, arguing these costs may outweigh benefits and stifle discovery of novel findings. We scrutinize these researchers’ (a) statistical concern that heightened …

Berlin|Oxford Summer School 2020

This repository contains materials and talks for the Berlin|Oxford Summer School 2020 from 28th September to 1st of October

Better P-curves: Making P-curve Analysis More Robust to Errors, Fraud, and Ambitious P-hacking, a Reply to Ulrich and Miller (2015)

When studies examine true effects, they generate right-skewed p-curves, distributions of statistically significant results with more low (.01 s) than high (.04 s) p values. What else can cause a right-skewed p-curve? First, we consider the …

Beyond Power Calculations: Assessing Type S (Sign) and Type M (Magnitude) Errors

Statistical power analysis provides the conventional approach to assess error rates when designing a research study. However, power analysis is flawed in that a narrow emphasis on statistical significance is placed as the primary focus of study …

Big Correlations in Little Studies: Inflated fMRI Correlations Reflect Low Statistical Power-Commentary on Vul Et Al. (2009)

Vul, Harris, Winkielman, and Pashler (2009), (this issue) argue that correlations in many cognitive neuroscience studies are grossly inflated due to a widespread tendency to use nonindependent analyses. In this article, I argue that Vul et al.'s …

Bite-Size Science and Its Undesired Side Effects

Short and rapid publication of research findings has many advantages. However, there is another side of the coin that needs careful consideration. We argue that the most dangerous aspect of a shift toward “bite-size” publishing is the relationship …

Boas práticas em ciência

Reprodutibilidade e replicabilidade de estudos científicos. Randomização, cegamento, planejamento amostral e pré-registro de projeto. Diferença entre estudos exploratórios e confirmatórios, P hacking, HARKing e double dipping. Práticas de …