认识不确定性 [Epistemic uncertainty]
定义: 认识不确定性是指由于有限的数据、测量精度、模型或流程规范的局限性、或知识不足而导致的系统不确定性。理论上,由知识不足导致的不确定性可以通过开展更多的研究来增进理解从而得以降低。这种不确定性可能是个人的(因知识差异)或暂时的(随着新数据的出现而变化)。
相关术语: Aleatoric uncertainty, Knightian uncertainty
参考文献:
- Der Kiureghian, A., & Ditlevsen, O. (2009). Aleatory or epistemic? Does it matter? Structural Safety, 31(2), 105–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2008.06.020
- Ferson, S., Joslyn, C. A., Helton, J. C., Oberkampf, W. L., & Sentz, K. (2004). Summary from the epistemic uncertainty workshop: consensus amid diversity. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 85(1–3), 355–369. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2004.03.023
原稿作者: Bradley Baker
审阅者: Jamie P. Cockcroft, Elizabeth Collins, Charlotte R. Pennington, Graham Reid
翻译者: AI-driven translation tool "TransFlow" (developed by Jinbiao Yang and COSN OpenTransfer team)
译稿审阅者: Xuejun Ryan Ji, Liangjie Chen, Ruoting Liu, Shuxian Jin