随机不确定性 [Aleatoric uncertainty]
定义: 由于不可知或固有的随机因素导致的结果的变异性。这是结果不确定性中的随机成分,无法通过获取额外的信息来减少。例如,在掷硬币时,我们无法确定它会正面朝上还是反面朝上。
相关术语: Epistemic uncertainty, Knightian uncertainty
参考文献:
- Der Kiureghian, A., & Ditlevsen, O. (2009). Aleatory or epistemic? Does it matter? Structural Safety, 31(2), 105–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2008.06.020
原稿作者: Bradley Baker
审阅者: Nihan Albayrak-Aydemir, Brett Gall, Magdalena Grose-Hodge, Bethan Iley, Charlotte R. Pennington
翻译者: AI-driven translation tool "TransFlow" (developed by Jinbiao Yang and COSN OpenTransfer team)
译稿审阅者: Cathy Fang, Liangjie Chen, Ruoting Liu, Shuxian Jin