Bayesyen Çıkarım [Bayesian Inference]
Tanım: Bayes teoremine dayanan ve olasılığın matematiksel dilini kullanarak epistemolojik belirsizliği ifade eden bir istatistiksel çıkarım yöntemi. Bayesyen çıkarım, olasılıklar arasında güvenilirliğin tahsis edilmesine (ve yeni gözlemlenen veriler veya kanıtlara dayanarak yeniden tahsis edilmesine) dayanır. Bayesyen çıkarıma yönelik mevcut iki yaklaşım ‘Bayes faktörleri’ (BF) ve Bayesyen parametre tahminidir.
İlgili terimler: Bayes Factor, Bayesian statistics, Bayesian Parameter Estimation
Kaynakça:
- Dienes, Z. (2011). Bayesian versus orthodox statistics: Which side are you on? Perspectives on Psychological Science, 6(3), 274–290. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691611406920
- Dienes, Z. (2014). Using Bayes to get the most out of non-significant results. Frontiers in Psychology, 5, 781. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00781
- Dienes, Z. (2016). How Bayes factors change scientific practice. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 72, 78–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmp.2015.10.003
- Etz, A., Gronau, Q. F., Dablander, F., & others. (2018). How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps: An annotated reading list. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 25, 219–234. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-017-1317-5
- Kruschke, J. K. (2015). Doing Bayesian data analysis: A tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan (2nd ed.). Academic Press.
- McElreath, R. (2020). Statistical rethinking: A Bayesian course with examples in R and Stan (2nd ed.). Taylor.
- Wagenmakers, E.-J., Marsman, M., Jamil, T., Ly, A., Verhagen, J., Love, J., Selker, R., Gronau, Q. F., Šmíra, M., Epskamp, S., Matzke, D., Rouder, J. N., & Morey, R. D. (2018). Bayesian inference for psychology. Part I: Theoretical advantages and practical ramifications. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 25(1), 35–57. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-017-1343-3
Hazırlayanlar ve Denetleyenler: Charlotte R. Pennington, Alaa AlDoh, Bradley Baker, Robert Ross, Markus Weinmann, Tobias Wingen, Steven Verheyen