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    复现市场 Replication Markets

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    定义

    复现市场是一个供用户针对效应可复现性进行投注的场所。预测者将因准确预测而获得激励，最成功者能赢得金钱奖励或贡献者身份。复现市场运用科学界的集体智慧来预判哪些效应最有可能被复现，以此激励研究人员将有限资源投入这些效应的复制。

    相关术语: 公众科学, Crowdsourcing, 可复现性, 可重复性

    参考文献:

    • Liu, Y., Gordon, M., Wang, J., et al. (2020). Replication Markets: Results, Lessons, Challenges and Opportunities in AI Replication. ArXiv:2005.04543 . http://arxiv.org/abs/2005.04543
    • Tierney, W., Hardy III, J. H., Ebersole, C. R., et al. (2020). Creative destruction in science. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 161, 291–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.obhdp.2020.07.002
    • Tierney, W., Hardy III, J., Ebersole, C. R., et al. (2021). A creative destruction approach to replication: Implicit work and sex morality across cultures. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 93, 104060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2020.104060
    • Replication Markets. (n.d.). Replication Markets – Reliable research replicates…you can bet on it. Replication Markets. https://www.replicationmarkets.org/
    • www.replicationmarkets.com

    原稿作者: Ali H. Al-Hoorie

    审阅者: Mahmoud Elsherif, Leticia Micheli, Sam Parsons

    翻译者: AI-driven translation tool "TransFlow" (developed by Jinbiao Yang and COSN OpenTransfer team)

    译稿审阅者: Zixi Wang, Liangjie Chen, Ruoting Liu, Shuxian Jin

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