Heads I win, tails it's chance: The illusion of control as a function of the sequence of outcomes in a purely chance task

Ellen J. Langer, Jane Roth

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1975. DOI 10.1037/0022-3514.32.6.951

Has this study been replicated?

The atlas records 2 replications of this study. Recorded outcomes: 1 successful, 1 mixed.

Outcome sequences and illusion of control - Part I: An online replication of Langer & Roth (1975), Eben et al. (2022). Outcome recorded: successful. Thus, we replicated the findings in an online context, although the effect size was smaller than expected. View paper
Outcome sequences and illusion of control – part II: the effect on post-loss speeding, Eben et al. (2022). Outcome recorded: mixed. We replicated that participants presented with more wins at the beginning of a sequence estimated their ability to predict the outcome of a coin-toss higher than participants presented with more losses at the beginning, or those presented with a random sequence. Additionally, participants generally View paper