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Retrospective and prospective hindsight bias: Replications and extensions of Fischhoff (1975) and Slovic and Fischhoff (1977)

Jieying Chen, Lok Ching Kwan, Lok Yeung Ma, Hiu Yee Choi, Ying Ching Lo, Shin Yee Au, Chi Ho Tsang, Bo Ley Cheng, Gilad Feldman

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 2021. DOI 10.1016/j.jesp.2021.104154

Has this study been replicated?

This paper is itself a replication attempt, targeting 2 studies, listed below.

Studies replicated

• Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty, Fischhoff (1975). Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance. View paper
• On the psychology of experimental surprises, Slovic & Fischhoff (1977). Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance. View paper

Cite this record

Chen, J., Kwan, L. C., Ma, L. Y., Choi, H. Y., Lo, Y. C., Au, S. Y., Tsang, C. H., Cheng, B. L., & Feldman, G. (2021). Retrospective and prospective hindsight bias: Replications and extensions of Fischhoff (1975) and Slovic and Fischhoff (1977). Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 96, 104154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2021.104154

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